Monday, May 2, 2011

Derby Forecast...Preliminary

NWS Louisville calling for Pt Sunny and 76 degrees!
Ok. Let's hold our horses (uh pun intended). This forecast is still not set yet.

Our friend, the GFS, is not so optimistic. More rain in the region and cool temperatures.

I've also looked at the PNA and NAO for the week. Mostly negative for the NAO and PNA.

What could this mean for our forecast by Derby day?
This is preliminary, but indications I'm looking at are not as optimistic as the NWS Louisville's forecast.

IF it stays dry, sun is out,  and we are ahead of the storm system, south to southwest winds could push temps well into the 70's with windy conditions.

However, consensus tells me that rain will be in the area or nearby. At the very least, more clouds than sun. Still looks like we'll be on the 'warm' side of things even if rain is falling or else nearby.

I look for temps to be in the upper 60's to low 70's with a chance for rain in the region. Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies and possibly breezy.
Range: Highs 68-73.

Only preliminary...more updates later.
MS

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