Saturday, January 14, 2012

Snow Big Deal??? (w/updates)

9:55pm UPDATE Final Post
nearly 1.5" now in Valley Station as the snow is finally winding down. This one will go down in my book as an overachiever. Sometimes, it's nice to be wrong on the low end of amounts. I like surprises. Roads are getting slicker. Take it easy out there tonight.
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5:15pm UPDATE
0.4" Valley Station with more moderate snow poised to move in within the half hour....if it holds together, could get an additional quarter inch or more.
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4:25pm UPDATE
0.3" here at my location in Valley Station
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4:15pm UPDATE
Snow is becoming a little steadier in Valley Station as enhancing is occurring from Owensboro to the I-65 corridor. Heaviest snow still appears just south of my location. Not much areal coverage west of Owensboro; however, banding may set up in these areas between Owensboro and I-65. Now thinking some locations could get up to a half inch in spots, maybe more if the banding trend can continue....
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It is now 3:20pm as I'm typing this. The first flurries are starting to fly. And this is with a green shade on the radar returns, which generally denotes moderate snow. The dry air is eroding but too late now for accumulating snow?

Possibly. Louisville could still get a dusting or so out of this but looks like main action will be east and south of the Metro.

RUC model still shows most precipitating snow to occur east of I65. Some locations may pick up to 2" but that will be isolated it appears now. Best chance for this will be across east Ky.

MrHP (Mid-range Highest Probability) amounts include:

Louisville 0.2"
Lexington 0.3"
E'town 0.5"
Corbin 0.9"
London 1.4"
Jackson 1.5"

This includes some banding, but most likely the dry air in place will eat away at these bands initially.

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