Friday, December 28, 2012

First Call for Snowfall 12/28/12

This looks like a slam dunk...Sorry, had to use such terminology since this is a big basketball weekend for the state of Kentucky.

Widespread snow is anticipated with a rather over-achieving southwest system. Models keep increasing QPF totals, mostly snow.

The last run that I saw from the NAM puts an axis of heavy snow along the Ohio River from Owensboro to Cincinnati.

The rain/snow line is critical as it runs through the state, as usual. Just north of the rain/snow line should realize the heaviest snow amounts, in my opinion.

Therefore, this latest run from the NAM looks good. However, they have consistently kept surface temperatures above 32 degrees throughout the event. Accumulations would be confined mostly to grassy surfaces while roadways could become partially snow-covered to slushy depending on how heavy the snow falls.

I've chosen 5 'official' weather locations for this forecast...

Paducah 2-4"
Evansville 2-5"
Louisville 2-5"
Cincinnati 2-5"
Lexington 1-3"

I will issue my Final Call for Snowfall sometime this afternoon, after 3:30pm

MS

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