Sunday, February 21, 2016

Projection Sunday

No, this is not about who's going to be seeded what and where during the NCAA basketball tournament.

I am talking about something more exciting than March Madness...uh, okay, maybe it's not as exciting, but it's a close second?

Whatever.

Periodically, I like to review some regional weather records and see whether they are in jeopardy of being broken. Everybody likes broken records, right?

Well, technically, this will not be a record. But, it will become a part of the top ten, which is still quite an accomplishment. I perused some of the data and found at least two possibilities. This is for Louisville and Lexington. And I guarantee you probably would never have guessed this subject.

Louisville's and Lexington's warmest winter seasons on record will still be in tact. However, entry into the top ten warmest winter seasons is a realistic possibility for both.

Louisville needed to average 40.7 degrees for the months of December through February as a minimum to gain entry at number 10. Right now, Louisville is on track to beat that minimum. For the last 9 days of February, Louisville would need an average of 37.7 degrees. To put that into perspective, a high of 46 and a low of 30 each day should cover that.

Lexington's path looks even easier, I believe. Lexington needed to average 38.6 degrees for December though February to attain a minimum entry into the top ten warmest winter seasons on record. Right now, Lexington would need to average 34.5 degrees for the rest of the month. For perspective, a high of 44 and a low of 25 each day should cover that.

Old Man Winter wants to make sure his reputation will not be smeared. Going into the last days of this month will pose a challenge for both locations. Right now, both are assured a spot in the top ten, but the averages will come down from here on out. I think it's going to be really close.

And down the stretch they come! Pretty exciting, huh?

MS

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