I decided to play with some of the analogs again. This time of year, predicting where tornadoes will occur based on the analogs can be frustrating.
Although not an actual forecast, based on how similar weather systems have performed in the past helps determine the chances of something like them occurring again.
Let's see, today is May 28. Really, starting late today into tomorrow, isolated tornadoes are forecast across parts of Kansas and Oklahoma. According to the analogs, the event tonight and tomorrow will not be as big of a deal as the chances will be for Thursday.
By then, main action shifts into Kansas, Nebraska, and Iowa. The GFS analogs are showing an enhanced risk for tornadoes for May 30 or Thursday. Could be a late night (Wednesday) or early morning (Thursday) event. That would be bad news since it is much harder to see tornadoes in the dark.
Currently, Wichita KS is only forecasting isolated tornadoes for today and a large hail/damaging wind event for Wed/Thr time frame.
Des Moines IA is forecasting a better chance for severe weather late Wed/early Thursday time frame, not really elaborating too much about that. Obviously, their main concern at the moment is the expectation for more heavy rain in the waterlogged areas.
MS
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
-
In July of this year, I did a segment about the latest sunsets in the eastern time zone. This corresponded nicely with the summer solstice a... -
Recently, I noticed that our days have now begun to shorten. However, our sunset here in Louisville still remains at 9:10pm edt. Starting th...
-
A 1 Temperature C Humidity F Heat Index 2 81 82 86.82 This is an Excel spreadsheet program. Fairly ...
No comments:
Post a Comment