Wilmington NC over 3.3" for the month
Jacksonville NC at 2.29"
Morehead City at 2.4"
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1:00pm
Wilmington 3.67" since October 1
Jacksonville NC 3.18"
Morehead City NC 2.63"
New Bern NC 3.11"
Norfolk VA 4.79" * since October 1
* estimated
Periods of heavy rain expected to affect areas especially around Wilmington; however, main pipeline expected to shift WEST so that South Carolina will be getting in on the action.
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3:05pm
Landslide issues possible...
This is from Blacksburg VA NWS ...concerning its Flash Flood product. The All Caps feature is not mine by the way. Plus, I could not get the link to work. Sorry about the bad link and apologize to other sites where its readers could not view that link.
"A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
AN INCREASED RISK OF LANDSLIDES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IF
YOU LIVE IN AN AREA PRONE TO LANDSLIDES...HEAD TOWARD HIGHER
GROUND AWAY FROM STREAMS...RIVERS...AND STEEP SLOPES."
I am really hoping that providing this simple yet powerful demonstration of the dangers of landslides, mudslides, and so forth, that other NWS offices such as Jackson KY will take heed to at least mention these dangers in their Flash Flood products or Public Information statement products.
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08:00 pm
Hard to believe but it still sounds like Notre Dame/Clemson game in South Carolina is still on for tomorrow
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04:45am Saturday 10/03/15
Charleston SC storm total now close to 5.50" with heavy rains persisting.
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05:05 am
Downtown Charleston is in line to receive the heaviest rainfall amounts...10-15" likely according to local NWS
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08:00a.m.
Sunday 10/04/15
Major flooding in South Carolina...since yesterday, at least 14" has fallen at Mt Pleasant along the coast northeast of Charleston. Since October 1 around noon, over 22" has been tallied, if my math is correct.
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I will be working on some locations to follow during the course of this historical rain event. I have already selected 3 locations that I am currently following but plan to add more as the storm really gets cranking.
Wilmington NC
Spartanburg SC
Anderson SC
I will update rain totals taken from many NWS offices of the affected areas. Expect double-digit rainfall amounts over the next few days. Hopefully I will be able to pinpoint where the most likely areas will be impacted by a pipeline of heavy rain that will continue for several consecutive hours. It will kind of remind me of the lake-effect snow bands that dump feet of snow on a few locations while a few miles away, the amounts drop off considerably. But, with this setup, everyone in the NC/SC/VA region stand to get socked. However, there will be a few of those 'unbelievable' precipitation amounts...16-22" in some of the targeted sweet spots for that fetch of precipitation.
Then later this weekend, we'll see how other locations farther north along the coast are faring.
Right now, Joaquin is expected to stay out to sea, but moisture will continue to wrap into the pesky upper low and drench parts of the southeast along with very gusty winds and high waves.
Check back as I will use this forum to keep you updated.
MS
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