Chili Weather

Now, this is what I am talking about! Very cool and almost raw conditions are shaping my weekend menu that now includes a pot of chili, with habanero peppers, of course. First chili of the young fall season promises to offset the expected brrr.

Impressive rainfall totals coming in over the last two days, including Bowling Green's now-over-3" drought-busting rain total, most of that falling overnight.

As usual, it seems my location gets undercut again. Rain totals at my house in Valley Station have amounted to 1.13" since late Monday. Parts of the county have recorded up to 2.80". Still, cannot complain though.

What's going to happen next? Something is supposed to happen along the east coast, but nobody knows what or how.

I always favor the European model in this situation. Though not perfect, this was the only model that predicted the track of hurricane-turned extra-tropical Sandy well in advance.

What does it say? Well, while other models are forecasting major impacts along the east coast, the European is the only model that  keeps the hurricane out to sea far enough so as to have minimal affects, I say that relatively, of course. Wind and moisture may still impact parts of the Atlantic seaboard, but not as much as a direct hit.

Nevertheless, there is still a high degree of uncertainty with this forecast package. Has the Euro met its match? We'll see if it sings another tune in the next forecast installments. For now, listen to it.

MS