Monday, February 16, 2015

NOWCAST February Big Snow 2015

Good morning....Valley Station right now at 1" with steadier snow moving in here at 5:30am.

Snowfall reports from west to east...

Mayfield................2.5"
Evansville..............1"
Madisonville..........2"
Central City KY...1.5"

I will be posting here periodically....MS

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7:00am UPDATE

Snow really ramped up over the past hour in Valley Station. Now at 2.5".

Highview in Louisville.....2"
Greensburg........................2"
Lexington..........................2"
Rineyville..........................2"

In western KY, 2-4" reports are common.
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8:00am UPDATE

Lighter snow last hour only yielded about 0.1". Valley Station total at 2.6". However, moderate to heavy snow bands on all sides of Evansville heading this way with more farther west. Expect heavier snow to pick up by 10am. May make slight adjustment in expected total for Louisville. My original forecast called for 7-10". But, that bust potential is getting closer to the Ohio River as I feared last night. Nevertheless, with some heavier bands around, 6-9" still looks good.

Reports of 5" amounts now in Brownsville, west of I-65 and south of Nolin Lake in Edmonson county.
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9:15am UPDATE
3" in Valley Station...with moderate snow falling now.
Reports of 4-6" in western KY, including a 6.5" in Greenville KY in Muhlenberg County

2-4" in Jefferson County common.

4-6" south of Louisville in Breckinridge and Ohio counties.

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10:30am UPDATE
4.3" in Valley Station...moderate snow.
Moderate to heavy snow falling along the Ohio River back to Evansville then farther west into Cape Giradeau MO heading our way. After that, main accumulating snow begins to taper off.

My thinking is that Louisville or my part of Louisville in sw Jefferson county should end up with at least 7-8", again possibly more, depending on heavier bands.

Am seeing reports of 4-7" across the Louisville CWA. Far western KY seeing 8" while parts of Illinois have nearly 10"!
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11:30am UPDATE
5.3" in Valley Station....snow had lightened for a brief moment but now picking up again.
On track to reach 7-8", perhaps higher if heavier bands develop.

Louisville Int'l has reached 5.2" during the last hour, good enough for a new daily snowfall record for this date. Our neighbor Lexington is on the verge of setting a new daily snowfall record for this date too.

Lots of 7" amounts being reported from E'town to Richmond and down in Taylor county near Campbellsville.

Looking at radar returns...could dry air be wrapping into this thing already? Out west, the moderate band is shrinking just near Evansville. Main accumulating snow may cut off here in a couple of hours. It's going to be a race for that 7" mark all of a sudden.
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12:30pm UPDATE
9" reports coming in from Grayson county. 6-9" becoming more common around here in central KY.
I even read a report of 9" in Pleasure Ridge Park here in sw Jefferson county, an adjacent area just to my north. If that's the case, I'm jealous because I'm only getting 6.7" here in Valley Station.

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2:30pm UPDATE
7.3" now in Valley Station, with much lighter snow over the past 2 hours. What about that band to the northwest of the area. Very heavy band of snow with that one.


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