Although I still think it is too early to tell how cold it will be later this week, it will still be very cold, so cold that it will put the BRRR in February.
I don't go by the models. Okay, look at this morning. Forecast lows were way off. The way cold air, calming conditions, snowpack, whatever, interacted with each other, produced some of the lowest readings in years. And yet...we may be looking at colder air than this.
I'll tell you what I have a problem with. Thursday morning wind chills will be brutal. However, those winds will help to offset the actual air temperature from plummeting too much. Yet, air temperatures are expected to be around -10 here at Louisville Int'l. Then, the following night, with calmer conditions, the overnight low is still expected to be -10.
Right now, and of course this is still subject to change, I'd be willing to go out on a limb and say that the ongoing forecast for these low temperatures for Louisville will change.
At this moment, for Thursday morning, I have Louisville Int'l at -6 with clouds and strong winds and wind chills of -20 to -25 degrees.
For Friday morning, with calming conditions and a significant snowpack, Louisville will see low temperatures of -11 to -13 actual air temperature. Perhaps -17 at my house in Valley Station.
Brrrr.
In the meantime, snow will accompany the leading edge of this upcoming Arctic air mass and give us a 1-3" possible accumulation.
Then, we turn our attention to this weekend system that could be quite dicey with the whole potpourri of wintry weather including rain.
Sheewww.
MS
Tuesday, February 17, 2015
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