At at time when most meteorologists have been looking ahead to the BIG system, which looks to bring mostly rain to the Commonwealth, a rather potent winter storm is taking shape and aiming for central and eastern KY for the Sun pm/Mon am time frame.
Using the 06z/01 run of the NAM, here is a preliminary look at snow and ice totals for the region.
Bardstown 1" or less
Bowling Green 1-3"
Corbin 2-4", <0.2" ice
Elizabethtown less than an inch
Glasgow 1-3"
Jackson 2-4"
Lexington 1-2"
London 3-5"
Louisville dusting to 0.1"
Pikeville 3-5"
Richmond 1-2"
Somerset 3-5"
Locations from Whitley to Letcher counties could see rain/ice with decent accumulations of one or both.
I would like to see the runs of the 12z and 18z runs of the NAM to make a final forecast for the region.
The NWS Jackson may want to issue Winter Storm Watch products for east to southeast KY.
A sw-ne line from Russell to Lawrence couties representing the northernmost boundary of the Watch product and nearly all points south of that in Kentucky. Again, standby only.
MS
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