Saturday, February 8, 2014

Nowcast and Forecast

The snow has moved in, perfectly timed by the Rapid Refresh model. It should remain light, but pockets of moderate snow may develop later this morning for the central part of our region. Up to 0.6" is possible, with perhaps localized 1" amounts from Louisville to Lexington with main shield exiting by shortly after noon in Louisville and 1-2pm in Lexington.

More nuisance snow showers overnight Saturday. These will be looked at in fuller detail as the RAP gathers more data.

Attention turns toward midweek system. The 12z./07 run of the Euro keeps the track of the storm the same, Low along the Gulf that tracks up the east coast. However, moisture appears to be suppressed to the south. Only the eastern part of KY could see the most precipitation. According to the Euro, this is not a storm system that drags much colder air behind it. In fact, 850mb readings warm enough for any leftover moisture could end as drizzle, liquid drizzle.

So far, the run of the Euro looks good for the most part. However, today, I'll be looking at the GFS and the Euro for that system.

MS

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