Sunday, February 20, 2011

Planning For a Busy Week

Even at 1:00 pm, my temperature was still locked in the low to mid 40's. But, the warmer air is not too far away. During the last hour, the temp is approaching 50, while Bowling Green is up to 71. Fantastic!


 
Here are some national readings as well

Quite a battleground north of us. Check out some of these impressive storm reports for snow and ice across parts of the northern plains. Last I checked, some locations were reporting 14" in NW South Dakota and SE Montana.
http://mapcenter.hamweather.com/stormreports/2011/02/20/usnorthcentral.html?c=

Now on to the models. So far, I'm not impressed by the 12z runs of both the GFS and NAM. As I compared their runs during the 1:00pm est time frame, both still paint quite a bit of moisture around our region. Even the GEM has moisture around here by 7:00 pm this evening.

I believe the rest of the daylight hours will be dry. Now, the GFS and NAM are showing lighter amounts for the short term (tonight thru Mon night), generally under a half-inch. However, the GEM continues to want to develop an area of heavier rain along and north of the Ohio River. If this should materialize, look for precip amounts in the half to one inch range with possible thunder.
I believe most have given up on the idea of anything wintry on the backside of this thing, as expected, but the cold will be noticeable and could be a few flurries/snow showers.

Looking ahead to the rest of the week, I've already stated my concerns for the end of the week with possible severe weather. Again, something to keep an eye on. I'll be posting further thoughts on this after the current system pushes through.

In the meantime, if you're in the warm sector, enjoy while the rest of us wait.
Have a good day.
MS

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