Our region could be in store for another nasty ice storm. The latest NAM run (0z) paints an ominous scenario unfolding for much of the state, as it has for the past several runs.
Just looking at Louisville, the model shows a total precipitation amount of nearly an inch. Some of that will be rain with temperatures above freezing for a little bit. But, it appears that rain will continue to fall while temperatures slip below freezing during the late afternoon and evening and into the overnight before changing to a mix of sleet and snow late.
Ice accumulations could range from -- 0.25" / 0.50"; Snow and sleet accumulation of 1.5 - 3.0 inches by Monday morning.
As a side note, if we get heavy freezing rain, this may actually help reduce the amount of ice accretion on power lines and tree branches as well as roadway surfaces. Hey, it worked out that way for the last ice system we had.
I still would like to consider the next few runs of the NAM. I believe that 30-36 hours out is the most accurate part of the model's forecast. Nevertheless, this will be a challenging forecast for meteorologists as precipitation types will be an issue. So, forecast amounts of each type will naturally be a challenge too.
I will update this page throughout the day.
Winter is not done yet. A flurry of punches to end the season perhaps? Not bad for an Old Man.
MS
No comments:
Post a Comment