While this is NOT an actual forecast for where severe weather will occur, the numbers suggest that there is a strong likelihood that severe thunderstorms with tornadoes are possible, even long-tracked tornadoes.
Still, the upper air data is just starting to come in. More refinements about possible locations that could be impacted are still forthcoming.
Also, the SPC maintains its prior severe weather risk at Moderate for our region. The hatched marks suggest at least a 10% probability for destructive winds in excess of 70mph and EF-2 to EF-5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a given point.
It's time to get prepared...
MS
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