****Moderate risk for severe weather includes west ky almost to the I65 corridor. Isolated strong tornadoes and damaging winds appear likely.****
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Stepping outside onto my porch, one would not think that later tonight, we could be dealing with yet another line of strong to severe storms. Currently, I have freezing drizzle and temperature is 31. That is actually up 2 degrees since 11pm last night.
A couple of maps I want to share with you for severe weather chances in our region. This map will be updated when the newest information comes out...
Currently, the tornado risk according to the SPC:
Now, for the wind damage threat...
The highest threat for severe weather continues to remain south of the region. When I say the highest threat, I'm referring to the best possibility for tornadoes and damaging straight line winds. Memphis TN is in the crosshairs.
Here is a scenario to just think about. If enough severe weather breaks out to our south, most of the severe weather anticipated for points north of E'town could be lessened somewhat by the energy ongoing to produce tornadoes to our south and west. That does not mean we in Louisville won't see some type of warning with this squall line.
My current concerns are the energy that could affect the Memphis TN area that will move quickly northeast and the timing of this event, being after dark. IF enough cells along the squall line become tornadic, I do think parts of western KY, say from Murray, Ft Campbell, and Hopkinsville could be included in this higher tornado threat.
Nevertheless, the squall line is expected to produce winds of, on average, 45-50 mph as it quickly pushes through. But, I still think winds may mix down to the surface with some of the heavier parts of the line that will push wind speeds above 55 mph in places.
This storm system is still unfolding. The potential exists for severe weather. It will be after dark for many of us when these storms arrive. Have those weather radios set to alert mode.
Here is a nice weather radio that I have in my home. This one you can get for about 30 dollars at any Walmart or other retail/grocery outlets.
More updates coming later...
MS
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