Thursday, January 30, 2020

January 2020 Final Projections

I am now projecting a lock that Louisville and Lexington will record a top ten warmest January. For Lexington, this is the 2nd consecutive month with top ten warmest recognition.

Overall, this has been a blowtorch winter. Additionally, February looks to start out with above normal temperatures. With teleconnections strongly in favor of normal to above normal temperatures, February just might make a clean sweep.

From a meteorological standpoint, the official winter months of December through February could go down as one of the least snowy on record for many locations in our region, as well as one of the warmest winter seasons (top ten?).

MS

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

MikJournal Moment 01/28/2020

Major earthquake off shore of Cuba. Shipping lanes exist in that region, not too far from cruise ship pathways.
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Teleconnections still not favorable. NAO shows some modest potential for short term blocking. But, any cold shots will last just for 1-3 days, then warm up again. Overall, a near normal to above normal pattern exists for the next several days.

Monday, January 27, 2020

MikJournal Monday 01/27/2020

Good morning to your last Monday of January 2020. Wow! Can you believe it? It's almost February!

If any of you have noticed, especially if you have read the MikJournal before, I love weather history. Today, let's hop in the Way Back machine, shall we Sherman, and travel to January 27, 1998 in the Appalachian mountains.

A heavy, wet snow event collapsed structures, stranded motorists, and caused power outages with as much as 2 to 4 FEET of accumulation in the higher elevations and a general 5 - 10" in the valley areas. Specific states included Tennessee, North Carolina, eastern Kentucky, Virginia, and West Virginia.

According to the NCDC's Storm Data publication, in Harlan, Letcher, and Pike counties, "Heavy wet snow occured in the mountains near the Virginia border. Snowfall accumulations were elevation dependent, with locations below 1000 feet receiving less than 1 inch, while locations above 2500 feet received 8 to 22 inches.  Some specific amounts included 3 inches at Whitesburg, 4 inches at Jenkins, Phelps, Cumberland, and Dorton,  5 inches at Partridge, and 6 inches at Ash Camp. Up to 14 inches of snow accumulated in areas just outside of Jenkins, and 22 inches accumulated on Black Mountain where Kentucky Route 160 crosses into Virginia. The heavy wet snow brought down numerous trees and power lines. More than 100 vehicles were stranded for about 4 hours on KY 160 where the road crosses Pine Mountain between Gordon and Sand Hill.  Conditions were even worse on Black Mountain, where approximately 15  motorists were stranded for over 14 hours."

In West Virginia, a state record for most snowfall in a 24-hour period was established at Flat Top with 35". In and around Beckley, emergency officials concurred that this storm exceeded the Blizzard of March 1993.

Reports of snow flakes the size of "flap jacks and frisbees" or the size of "your fist" were common in McDowell and Fayette counties.

The situation could have been much worse for affected residents. There were 2 deaths directly attributable to the storm, but "one unique problem was the many retired coal miner [sic] that use oxygen generators.  The extended electrical outage presented health concerns."

Interestingly, in Charleston, only rain fell. At Huntington, not a flake or drop of rain was reported

Again, thanks to NCDC Storm Publication for these historic compilations of this snow storm.

Still hoping for a decent snow before winter gives up. But, time is now beginning to run short. We are exiting the coldest part of winter according to a few locations as their average temperatures will be rising from this point forward.

Make it a great week, and thanks for stopping by.

MS

Saturday, January 11, 2020

Tornadoes, Strong Winds Today

With still more time left, some 445 wind damage reports have been received so far today.
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According to Madison county scanner, report of a mobile home blown over with occupants inside
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Tree on house trapping residents in Jefferson county.
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Already this morning a report of a rain-wrapped tornado in western Kentucky near Cadiz. Damage has been reported.

Winds exceeding 50 mph have been common across the western part of our region.

The line is supposed to weaken some this morning. But rainfall has been copious. Well over 2" since midnight in western Kentucky along with flash flood advisories and warnings.

Tornadoes on Easter Sunday

This is a worse case scenario. Tornadoes and flooded, blocked roadways making for great difficulties reaching residences affecting hard hit ...