Ice Threat Looming

Over a week ago, I highlighted the possibility of a significant winter event for somewhere near the region. In my post 'Your Monday' dated January 9, I expected a w-e demarcation line with cold air north and warmer air south. Where the setup could produce an ice event was an initial concern then and now looks to verify for some in our region.

Admittedly, I was not so optimistic about these chances as the GFS was leading the way. All of the GFS bashers as of late have got me rattled. And typically, the GFS 'warms' over successive runs. However, the GFS has stuck to its guns and now has become the choice model for this event.

Don't forget about the NAM. It can also be useful in this scenario.
It still keeps the primary ice threat just north of the Ohio river. It has also been consistent in its placement of ice threat.

Areas north of the Ohio river should expect travel problems along with isolated power outages, the key word is isolated. Still don't think this will be a major event. But, any time ice is involved....

Looking forward to severe weather chances for the region. The NAM keeps severe potential confined to the southern part of KY, where winds could gust above 55 mph. The SPC will be posting their next 2 day forecast soon. Be watching for it. I'll be posting on this as soon as it becomes available.

MS