The much advertised system is finally becoming figured out. After much debate about how certain troughs would affect the region, I'm starting to see a consensus that I'm satisfied with. At this point, I'm relying on the NAM, GFS, and GEM. These outnumber the European model and make more sense according to past analogs.
A decent shot of cold air will pour into the region. Highs still look to struggle to reach 50 degrees especially on Thursday while at least low 50's on Friday. With precip exiting, except possibly the far southeastern part of the state, High pressure builds in and provides cool but calmer conditions by Friday.
I still like the chances of a mild end to this month and the beginning of next month.
In the meantime, look for healthy amounts of rain for the region, especially near Louisville, where over an inch is possible tonight into the first part of tomorrow.
MS
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