Our recent storm system proved to be quite strong for this time of year, dumping the rain and pumping the cold. At one time, I noticed the barometric pressure reading dropped to 29.04" (983mb) in Toledo OH, good enough for a pressure reading like that of a strong cat 1 hurricane.
While the storm finally winds down, its effects will continue to be felt through Saturday morning with possibly the coldest readings of the season for many before a slow recovery into next week. We could be looking at temperatures reaching the 70's again...ahead of the next storm system.
I still would like to see a few more runs of the GFS. However, I'm starting to pay more attention to the time frame around the 28th of the month for another possible cold invasion. Preceding the cold will showcase ample moisture capable of heavy rains and possible strong storms.
At this time, temperatures look to bottom out in the low 40's for highs by next Friday. However, the shot of cold air looks to be brief. As we head toward the end of the month and into the month of November, I think readings will be quite nice for this time of year.
But, then we'll be talking about the 'next one'.
In my upcoming Winter Weather Forecast 2011/2012, I'll be discussing analog years. For those of you interested in analogs, there is a site that's informative and useful for the cold season. I invite you to check it out here.
MS
MS
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