Preliminary First Call for Snowfall

At at time when most meteorologists have been looking ahead to the BIG system, which looks to bring mostly rain to the Commonwealth, a rather potent winter storm is taking shape and aiming for central and eastern KY for the Sun pm/Mon am time frame.

Using the 06z/01 run of the NAM, here is a preliminary look at snow and ice totals for the region.

Bardstown          1" or less
Bowling Green    1-3"
Corbin                2-4", <0.2" ice
Elizabethtown      less than an inch
Glasgow             1-3"
Jackson              2-4"
Lexington            1-2"
London               3-5"
Louisville            dusting to 0.1"
Pikeville              3-5"
Richmond           1-2"
Somerset            3-5"

Locations from Whitley to Letcher counties could see rain/ice with decent accumulations of one or both.

I would like to see the runs of the 12z and 18z runs of the NAM to make a final forecast for the region.

The NWS Jackson may want to issue Winter Storm Watch products for east to southeast KY.
A sw-ne line from Russell to Lawrence couties representing the northernmost boundary of the Watch product and nearly all points south of that in Kentucky. Again, standby only.

MS