Forecasting Snow For the Region - Try This One

Sure, we can look at the forecast models, you know, GFS, NAM, Euro, GEM. Often, we leave it to the pros to interpret what those models will spit out in terms of precipitation for the area. And yes, all eyes are glued to the same models again as they fluctuate in their various runs for the next upcoming system.

Folks, this is basketball country around here. We live and breathe this stuff, the tickling of the nylon, the diaper dandies, and the thunderous throwdowns. The atmosphere around here gets so heated, I think we can alter the weather at times. You know, it could be true.

Looking at our most recent heaviest snowfall in January, it was January 20, 2011 that Louisville recorded 3.6" and Lexington 3.3". I can't remember how the meteorological computer models fared with their forecasts but I found an interesting correlation that may prove useful for our next storm system in a couple of days.

Introducing the NCAA model.

Something else noteworthy occurred in January 2011. The University of Louisville and Kentucky Men's NCAA basketball teams suffered a loss in the same week.

In fact, UL lost to Villanova 88-74 at Villanova on 1/12. UK fared no better at Tuscaloosa on 1/18 when Alabama beat the Cats 68-66.

Two days later, on January 20, 2011, Louisville and Lexington recorded their respective snowfall amounts previously mentioned.

Last night, UL lost to Villanova at Villanova and UK lost to Alabama at Tuscaloosa. Could this be deja vu? Well, if history repeats itself, then two days or so later, Louisville and Lexington should be looking at possibly 3" of snow on the ground.

Hey, this model makes just as much sense as the ones we hear about on a daily basis from our weather heroes. Take care and I'll give the NAM a few more chances to catch up with the NCAA model.

MS