November Mid-Month Report and Look Ahead

Through the middle of the month, Louisville has enjoyed above average temperatures and below normal rainfall. The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above normal temps and precip for the rest of the month. In fact, here's a sneak peek at the preliminary outlook for the month of December...

I think many of us are expecting December to make that transition to winter. However, the CPC must see things a little differently. Now, there's still time for the CPC to update this before the end of the month.

I do know one thing in their favor. The models are withholding the colder air from infiltrating our region. Still locked up in Alaska, it's only a matter of time before chunks of that colder air begin dumping into our part of the world. Something to keep an eye on.

Again, something else to keep an eye on is the possibility of more heavy rain moving back into the area. Here is a look at the Sun-Mon time frame...

It appears at least 0.50" is expected for Louisville while heavier amounts could be realized downstate. However, during the holiday week, at least another 2 inches is expected to fall on top of that. If the predicted rain amounts are realized, some minor flooding issues could arise. As always, things change. So, we'll just have to wait and see how the models fine tune the week ahead.

Don't forget to check out my winter weather forecast for 2011/2012. You can find it in the Miks Piks section of my blog.

MS