Your Weather This Week (Apr 8-12)

Just what we needed. A nice, mild weekend. Ahhh.

Prior to this, we experienced below normal temperatures for 19 days out of 20. Now, we're on a 2-day winning streak with above normal readings that should continue a few more days.

Something else I noticed over the last 15 days, we've received only 0.08" precipitation. Being cut off from the Gulf of Mexico can make that happen sometimes. Now, though, we are in the good graces of that rich moisture source.

Nevertheless, the WPC (formerly known as HPC) is showing about 0.75 - 1.00" for the upcoming week

Another item that may concern some of us is the threat for severe weather during the Wed/Thr time frame. The SPC's Day 3 Outlook has Kentucky divided in half for the slight risk of severe weather, generally along and west of I-65. I'm sure the maps will change because it sounds like the GFS and Euro models aren't in agreement about timing again.

I've been looking at analog data again. At 48-72 hours out, looks like any severe weather would be located primarily south of the region such as in parts of central or western TN. So far, this does not look like a widespread severe weather outbreak...according to the top 15 analogs.

However, the NWS Louisville continues to express concern about the possibility of severe weather this week. The frontal passage's timing should prove crucial as to who stands the best chance at seeing severe weather.

As usual, we'll stay tuned.

MS