The most recent SPC outlook still has Louisville and most of our central and northern region in a slight risk category for severe thunderstorms.
Wind damage is the most likely result according to the SPC. Yet, the NWS office here in Louisville continues to advertise more of a large hail bias.
At this very moment (1:25pm), clouds have rapidly increased with some scattered downpours developing. However, instability will wane some if the clouds continue to hang around. We need more heating if a Watch is going to be posted anytime soon.
Therefore, while SPC feels a Watch is likely, I think we need to look at the current picture and assign a 'probable' variable based on whether or not peak instability will occur during peak heating time. And that is contingent on the amount of cloud cover available.
I assign a 50 percent chance for a Watch to be issued. This would possibly include the Louisville area. I do think hail and high winds are equal threats this time around.
MS
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
-
In July of this year, I did a segment about the latest sunsets in the eastern time zone. This corresponded nicely with the summer solstice a... -
Recently, I noticed that our days have now begun to shorten. However, our sunset here in Louisville still remains at 9:10pm edt. Starting th...
-
A 1 Temperature C Humidity F Heat Index 2 81 82 86.82 This is an Excel spreadsheet program. Fairly ...
No comments:
Post a Comment