Sunday, July 31, 2011

Looking At the Tropics...

Aug 1 4:30am UPDATE
Not reporting anything new, just wanted to share this map with you. After all of this time of following tropical systems, I still cannot keep the windward and leeward islands straight. These form most of the Lesser Antilles.

------------------------------------------------------
Aug 1 3:30am UPDATE
Still no definitive surface circulation but hurricane hunters heading out there this morning. For those living near the Lesser Antilles, treat this as a tropical storm threat. I continue to see circulation at least in the upper levels near 14.4N and 55.9W moving at about 15mph west and northwest. This puts it about 370 miles east-southeast of Dominica and 340 miles due east of Martinique. Therefore, expect possible tropical storm conditions within 24 hours despite no official watches or warnings.
----------------------------------------
After the complete disintegration of Don near Baffin Bay in south Texas late Friday night and early Saturday morning, we have been turning our attention once again eastward, this time toward the Lesser Antilles.

As of the latest report, although hurricane hunters have not clearly defined surface circulation, satellite imagery shows spin with the latest center of upper level circulation near 14.1N and 53.5W (6:15pm edt) moving west at about 16 mph.

By the next report, hopefully around 7:45pm edt, we'll have at least a tropical depression, if not our next named storm called Emily. That means I'll be using the satellite image from 7:15pm and should show coordinates in the upper levels at 14.2N and 53.7W.

We'll see what the next tropical update reveals....

Otherwise, an upper level low is crossing over southern parts of Cuba, but no tropical development is expected from the NHC.

MS

No comments:

Post a Comment

Tornadoes on Easter Sunday

This is a worse case scenario. Tornadoes and flooded, blocked roadways making for great difficulties reaching residences affecting hard hit ...