MikJournal Monday 02/18/2019...Memorable Storm System This Week

First, I would like to apologize for last Monday's post. As you saw, there was nothing updated. However, I can say that I was affected by last week's flooding. Thankfully, no damage, but very little sleep over a 36-hour period. In addition, I have my 'normal' work that I actually get paid for. Of course, it was a very busy week with the holiday and all.

Now for this week. Uh, deja vu? Whatever that means. But, we will have another significant weather system affecting our region. And yes, there is now a likely chance that more flooding will occur throughout the state.

I have to put this on a separate line, because you have to see what forecast amounts are expected...

3 - 8" through next Sunday

...of rainfall! Most people would be happy, if not a little hesitant though, if accumulations of 3 - 8" were all snow.

Teleconnections do not favor any kind of significant winter storm for our region. However, this storm system is going to have it all. Rain, Freezing Rain, Snow. And some of the winter aspect could impact our region for a time.

Also, this could become a crippling ice event for some near the Blue Ridge mountains and along either side of the VA/NC borders. Freezing rain will not be too far away from us here in Louisville. Areas just north of the Ohio river could see some impacts.

But, the big story for us will be the heavy rainfall expected this week.

Right now, a wave of rainfall along a frontal boundary will produce efficient soaking amounts of 1 - 3" just for the Tue/Wed time frame for much of central Kentucky. Afterward, the axis of additional heavy rainfall for later this week becomes a little murky, no pun intended.

But, locations of south-central to eastern Kentucky appear to be in the bullseye for the upper end of forecast amounts this week. This does not mean areas of Louisville and Lexington are out of the woods for the heaviest rainfall. Low confidence in the exact trajectory of the storm system is hampering the forecast. But, somebody is going to get a lot of rain.

My homemade rain gauge is going to get a workout this week.

I will 'try' to post amounts, perhaps in a separate blog post. But, if you don't hear from me, I am probably babysitting the basement.

Stay safe out there. Don't be that person who gets trapped by rising floodwaters while driving through it. Watch out for all of those potholes, too. Man, I got some that will swallow a car around here.

MS