Thursday, December 19, 2013

Year-End Weather Outlook for Kentucky

First, our upcoming weather system looks wet and windy. This morning, I noticed the WPC has shifted an axis of heavy rain east that now encompasses areas along the Ohio River which could produce 3-day totals in excess of 4".

Long term outlook shows a persistent ridge off of the west coast of the U.S., which will keep them unusually dry for this time of the year. That could lead to some low snowpack and drought issues later on next year for many along the coast.

Another persistent feature includes a strengthening trough east of Iceland.

Our weather will include a variety of conditions. West-Southwest flow will be offset by periods of Northwest flow. I don't really see any significant winter storm affecting the region through the rest of the year.

Temperatures will be cold to mild, somewhat below normal to slightly above normal, but no Arctic outbreaks expected. Then again, no record breaking warmth expected after this weekend's storm event.

More on the possibility of flooding for parts of the region later....

MS

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