SPC issues a HIGH RISK for severe weather for much of Indiana.
Perhaps this could be the most prolific November tornado outbreak since 2005 for our region.
It's difficult to compare weather systems, but this storm system appears to have the potential to exceed the 2005 outbreak (at least 40 confirmed tornadoes).
If the ingredients remain in place, tornadoes will be likely especially across Indiana.
In my opinion, here is a breakdown of cities and nearby locations with the highest chances for tornadoes...
Indianapolis >50%
Lafayette >50%
Kokomo >50%
Terre Haute >50%
Bloomington >40%
Seymour 20-30%
Vincennes 20-30%
Austin 10-20%
Evansville 10-20%
Charlestown near 10%
Madison near 10%
Carrollton KY near 10%
Louisville KY near 10%
Owensboro KY near 10%
The most likely scenario for strong long-track tornadoes exist in an area roughly from south to north, Bloomington to Lafayette and locations within that parameter, including Indianapolis.
Look for activity to break out across NE Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois by early afternoon.
MS
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