MCS Power

An impressive Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) is moving across the landscape west of the Wabash river as of this report. A Severe T'storm WATCH is in effect for areas just west of Louisville. We'll see how this thing holds together.

Looking at RADAR, an impressive bow echo signature reveals very strong winds associated with this complex. A favorable environment for the complex, feeding off the heat and rising dewpoints.

Probabilities from the Storm Prediction Center include these for THIS WATCH BOX ONLY...
Severe wind - 60%
Severe hail - 40%
Tornadoes - 10%
Severe wind 70mph - 30%

These probabilities do not suggest an impressive outbreak of severe weather, but damaging wind appears to be the primary threat. Nevertheless, if this thing holds together, winds should reach severe limits (>58mph) to our west, including Owensboro, Evansville, and Jasper.

We'll see how this thing fares as it approaches the locations above as the current WATCH may need to be extended east to include Louisville and other locations east of I-65.

MS