Good Saturday evening to all and thanks for checking in. The weather promises to keep us on our toes, unless you live just north of the Ohio River where ice may keep you on your, well, something else. Although I'm not a big fan of the GFS forecast model, I looked at a few runs and have noticed a general 'warming' from run to run to run. Therefore, I'm becoming more convinced that Louisville and points south will be looking at a heavy rain event for early to midweek.
What about areas just to our north and northeast? I'm looking at a rather narrow area some 30 miles wide from north to south that could be facing a significant ice event. Of course, I'm hoping that the GFS will continue to show a progressively warmer solution so that these areas will warm enough to prevent additional icing. This has bad written all over it. However, thankfully, we're still at least a day away from getting a better handle on this impending storm system
It will be a classic battle of the Arctic airmass and the warmer surge of air coming up from the Gulf of Mexico. Unfortunately, some areas may become severely impacted. Elsewhere, it looks like significant accumulations of a sleet/snow mixture north of the freezing rain areas.
Stay tuned and keep checking back in. Tomorrow, I hope to post a few charts outlining what could possibly happen. Quite likey, I won't be making a general forecast but should do so by Monday.
That's all for now. Have a great evening.
MS
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